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imd: Long monsoon: IMD says retreat unlikely to begin till early October – Times of India

NEW DELHI: The long monsoon this year is likely to remain active till early October, with the met department on Thursday saying the withdrawal of the rainbearing system is not expected to begin at least in the next 10 days.
The normal date for the beginning of monsoon’s retreat (starting from west Rajasthan) is September 17 and the rainy season ends on September 30 in the classification of the India Meteorological Department’s (IMD). This year’s monsoon withdrawal is likely to be delayed by more than two weeks.
“We are expecting two more back-toback low-pressure systems coming inland from the Bay of Bengal. One of these will start impacting Odisha from September 26, and the other will follow two-three days later,” said IMD head Mrutyunjay Mohapatra.
The two systems will bring more rain into central India and adjoining parts of east and northwest, delaying the retreat of the monsoon from the country, as per IMD’s extended range forecast released on Thursday. If these two low-pressure circulations hit the mainland as forecast, September would have had five such systems, the highest for any monsoon month this year. July had four low-pressure systems bringing rain from the Bay of Bengal, while the count in June and August was two each.
“The monsoon’s withdrawal is unlikely for the next10 days or so, till around October
3. We are not commenting on the period beyond these 10 days or so because the accuracy diminishes,” Mohapatra said.


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